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Labour faces catastrophic Might native elections and is ready to lose 1,850 seats, knowledgeable predicts

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April 30, 2026
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Labour faces catastrophic Might native elections and is ready to lose 1,850 seats, knowledgeable predicts
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Lord Robert Hayward has predicted Labour will lose greater than 70% of the council seats it’s defending

Lee Grimsditch Options Author and David Lynch and Sophie Wingate Press Affiliation Political Employees

07:32, 30 Apr 2026

LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - APRIL 29, 2026: British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer departs 10 Downing Street for the House of Commons to attend the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in London, United Kingdom on April 29, 2026. (Photo credit should read Wiktor Szymanowicz/Future Publishing via Getty Images)

Consultants predict Labour are set for catastrophic loses within the Might elections(Picture: Wiktor Szymanowicz, Wiktor Szymanowicz/Future Publishing through Getty Photographs)

Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour celebration faces catastrophic losses of greater than 75% of the council seats it’s defending throughout England within the forthcoming Might elections, a number one polling knowledgeable has forecast.

Lord Robert Hayward predicted the governing celebration will lose round 1,850 seats in councils throughout the nation.

That is measured towards the two,557 seats it’s defending within the upcoming vote, in response to figures compiled by election specialists Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher.

Click on right here for the most recent on Higher Manchester’s politics in our publication

Their information, which differs from that utilized by the Press Affiliation, accounts for seats being contested for the primary time this 12 months following boundary modifications, the place a defending political celebration has been estimated.

On Might 7, voters will head to the polls to elect councillors throughout England, alongside parliamentary representatives within the devolved administrations in Wales and Scotland.

Conservative peer and pollster Lord Hayward described his prediction as “dangerous information” for the Prime Minister, who finds himself within the throes of a scandal about Lord Mandelson’s appointment as US ambassador, and whose reputation continues to path behind different celebration leaders in opinion polls.

Labour shouldn’t be the one mainstream celebration set to undergo huge losses Lord Hayward stated, predicting that Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives will lose 600 seats.

Reform UK is predicted to be the principle beneficiary of each of the 2 main events, he predicted, gaining some 1,550 seats from each Labour and the Conservatives, largely in white working class areas outdoors of London.

The Inexperienced Get together, additionally a rising power in British politics, will achieve 500 seats largely in London and historically center class areas of different main cities, Lord Hayward stated, whereas the Liberal Democrats are set to make positive aspects of round 150 seats.

In Wales, Lord Hayward predicted Plaid Cymru, the Welsh nationalist celebration, would be the largest celebration when it comes to each votes and seats in Wales’ Parliament, the Senedd.

Completely different opinion polls have disagreed on the end result in Wales, with some inserting Plaid forward and others suggesting Reform would be the largest celebration.

Both manner, the Senedd result’s more likely to see Labour toppled after 26 years of dominance in Welsh politics.

In Scotland, Lord Hayward predicted that the SNP shall be simply wanting a majority within the Holyrood Parliament.

Forward of the polls, the Prime Minister’s political spokesman stated: “This native election comes right down to a easy alternative: Labour in your aspect, together with your native Labour council working in partnership with a Labour Authorities, or Nigel Farage and Reform who would put your loved ones, your NHS and your group in danger.”

Requested about Sir Keir’s message to MPs who could also be confronted with dire outcomes, the spokesman declined to “get forward” of the end result, and highlighted the Authorities’s document on “giving extra rights to employees”, taking elements of the general public realm again into public possession, investing in public companies and preventing youngster poverty.


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