Think about the political panorama from our prime minister’s perspective. The richest man on the earth is pursuing a sudden however profound grudge in opposition to your premiership, promulgating conspiracist invective from the seat of his social media fiefdom. He has referred to one in every of your ministers, whose experience and counsel you worth, as a “rape genocide apologist”. Your two principal political opponents, vying for primacy on the fitting, have accommodated and appeased his worldview. In the meantime, the UK media is mesmerised at greatest and parroting hostile speaking factors at worst.
And but, so far as Keir Starmer’s tech billionaire torment is anxious, this was not a nasty week.
With a web-based onslaught raging, it was placing the extent to which Starmer’s intervention on Monday — when he accused Elon Musk of crossing a “line” — lower by way of. The assertion was neither a panicked overreaction nor too timid. In refrain, Kemi Badenoch and Nigel Farage argued the PM had inappropriately evoked the “poison” of utmost politics. Their response mirrored Musk’s emergent standing because the UK proper’s new ringmaster.
Badenoch and Farage’s totemic battle for supremacy reimagined itself as one in every of servility this week — a fawn-off for Musk’s affection. Andrew Griffith, the shadow enterprise secretary and shut ally of Badenoch, was essentially the most overtly toadyish. He declared on X that Musk’s buy of the platform in 2022 might have “saved humanity”.
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In the long run, Badenoch’s techniques will widen the political house that solely Farage can dominate. One other week ends with the Conservative Occasion having made little tangible progress on its defining challenges. As chief, Badenoch continues to skip the soul-searching stage in favour of a rightward march in direction of Faragism — and presumably past. Was Robert Jenrick’s X missive — which castigated “alien cultures”, “medieval attitudes” and “entrenched sectarian voting blocs” — an indication of issues to return for UK Conservatism, or a sign his management marketing campaign by no means ended? (Be aware his X banner).
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Badenoch’s job this week was as follows: to take care of the pretence of reasonability, whereas partaking with and echoing Musk’s newsy vitriol. The federal government’s refusal to carry a nationwide inquiry into the grooming gangs, Badenoch informed the Home at PMQs, served to masks Labour “complicity” and mirrored a “cowl up”. The Conservative chief hid her most aggressive criticisms behind the rhetorical protect of public “notion”. However Musk acquired the message.
“Effectively stated by Kemi Badenoch”, the X proprietor responded, as if his bidding had been completed.
The Conservative used her weekly second within the political highlight — her first of 2025 — to attraction to a social media cabal that, relative to the citizens at at giant, is of microscopic significance. Within the medium time period, Farage may need one thing to achieve, momentum-wise, from galvanising a faithful on-line fan base. However Badenoch’s activism dangers additional extracting her get together from the mainstream of public opinion: the essential electoral mass that Conservative leaders as soon as ably channelled and directed.
However Badenoch’s remarks mirror a merciless actuality for Starmer: his authorities is below concerted, intensifying siege. The prime minister wants a coherent technique to navigate the sheer hostility that surrounds his administration — which is echoed throughout all media platforms, however no extra so than on Musk’s X.
The prime minister reminded the general public of his authorities’s strict moral-political traces this week — and undertook to police them forcefully. In relation to Elon Musk, in what looks like an more and more uncommon state of affairs, public opinion is on Starmer’s facet. Fewer than one in 5 British respondents view Musk favourably, in line with a latest YouGov ballot. That may be a supply of power for the PM.
Conversely, the Conservative Occasion’s strategy to the tech billionaire this week — which comprised a spectrum starting from tacit condemnation to overt celebration — is definitely a hostage to fortune. Badenoch is enjoying with forces that might someday devour her get together. For all of the emphasis on her “considerate”, mental model of conservatism, the Tory chief has proven little curiosity in interrogating the political modes Musk represents.
That, for what it’s price, is the Westminster angle. However sadly for Starmer and people sympathetic to his trigger, it might be price little.
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The MAGA angle
The now-shattered Musk-Farage alliance, in any case, was a turquoise herring. Within the midst of his newest X siege, it’s Musk’s enduring proximity to the president-elect, Donald Trump, that ought to have Starmer quaking.
“We now have to guard our geniuses. We don’t have that a lot of them”, Trump declared in his victory speech on 6 November as he extolled Musk’s rising star.
There may be good motive to imagine the president-elect will proceed to guard his loudest and richest MAGA asset. The tech billionaire donated round $200 million to the Republican’s election effort — making him one of many greatest benefactors ever in a single US presidential marketing campaign cycle. In the meantime X, which Musk purchased in 2022 for $44 billion, was transformed into one other media appendage of the Republican Occasion.
Musk’s election heroics warranted good-looking reward. And his formal place within the incoming administration as Trump’s effectivity tsar is the least of it. Since he was named DOGE (Division of Authorities Effectivity) co-premier, Musk’s struggle on Washington waste has been usurped by grander ambition: exporting the MAGA revolution.
Trump — in spite or as a result of of all of it — continues to publicly again his chief donor-turned-DOGE chief. Talking at a press convention at his Mar-a-Lago property in Florida this week, the president-elect insisted that Musk was “doing an excellent job” when drawn on his latest commentary.
Musk is prosecuting a struggle on a number of fronts. His assist for radical proper political events within the UK and Germany has compelled European governments to rethink their response to on-line disinformation and legal guidelines protecting election interference. Musk’s timeline is nearly completely devoted to criticising the coverage of overseas administrations (with the notable exception, it ought to be stated, of autocratic regimes).
However Musk’s energy will not be borne of his X eminence. It’s his enduring proximity to the president-elect, as a Mar-a-Lago mainstay, that can most concern his choose worldwide adversaries. Musk isn’t any mere lone troll — basement-dwelling and indifferent from energy and affect. In lower than ten days, he shall be advising the world’s strongest man.
Certainly, Musk — who has referred to as for the imprisonment of Keir Starmer and launch of Tommy Robinson — has already joined Trump on calls with world leaders.
These considerations have been the backdrop to the BBC Newsnight report this week, which spoke of the horror “on the highest stage of the [UK] authorities” at Musk’s X antics. “There may be going to be… a hard-headed evaluation: is that this simply the view of Elon Musk, or is it the view of the broader administration and the incoming president Donald Trump?”, political editor Nicholas Watt defined.
“If it’s the latter then there could nicely should be some very, very severe questions concerning the nature of our ongoing safety partnership with america. …
“We’re members of the 5 Eyes group with america, Canada, Australia and New Zealand…. Can you’ve got that stage of sharing every little thing if this form of stuff is endorsed by the subsequent president of america?”
The report sparked a bitter response on X, naturally. However the UK authorities has no selection however to deal with Musk’s ramblings with the utmost seriousness.
Within the quick time period, this can be a problem for Lord Mandelson, the brand new UK ambassador to america. The Blairite grandee has already mirrored publicly on Musk’s antagonism. Interviewed by The Information Brokers’ podcast in November, Mandelson urged the federal government to “reconnect” with the tech tycoon and urged he “was most likely wound up and primed by Labour’s political opponents”. In latest months, after all, Musk’s view of Starmer has deteriorated markedly.
Mandelson’s MAGA reconnaissance mission — as he estimates the disruptive potential of the brand new Trump administration — would be the essential exercise this authorities undertakes within the coming weeks. That mission principally pertains to the position of Musk, his avenues of affect and the way they could possibly be disrupted.
Nonetheless, the essential questions Our Man In Washington should reply are something however. Is, as an example, the tech billionaire freelancing — or do his ostensibly nonsensical ramblings reveal one thing deeper concerning the MAGA overseas coverage agenda?
Is his conspiracist conjecture a function or bug of Trump’s diplomatic strategy?
Is Musk merely on the vanguard of the MAGA revolution, offering early readability concerning the president-elect’s radicalised worldview?
Are different members of the Trump administration well-positioned and daring sufficient to steer Trump away from Musk? How doubtless is a high-profile uncoupling between the president and his “first buddy”?
After which the extra subjective questions that observe: if Trump refuses to rein Musk in, ought to inaction be learn as a tacit endorsement of his remarks? Does the actual fact that Musk’s feedback are acceptable MAGA discourse preclude the resumption of regular US-UK diplomatic relations and, sure, safety process?
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Trump, it ought to be stated, doesn’t see rows along with his worldwide counterparts as an inherent diplomatic taboo. The mutually hostile relationship between the US president-elect and Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau was a recurrent function of the previous’s first time period. Trump’s presidential transition has seen tempers reignite — even after Trudeau’s resignation deal with.
Ought to Starmer concern the liberal-statesman-shaped hole available in the market, designed for a global MAGA adversary — onto whom Trump acolytes can mission some dystopian best? Notably, inside the MAGAverse, it wasn’t simply Musk who levelled fierce criticism at Starmer this week. Turning Level USA founder and shut Trump confidant Charlie Kirk labelled the prime minister a “grooming gang enabler” and stated it was “tragic” that MPs didn’t go the Tory reasoned modification on a nationwide inquiry.
It’s no secret, subsequently, that some quarters of MAGA are severe about destabilising Starmer — and such outbursts shall be a outstanding function of our politics for the foreseeable future.
The thriller lies with the president-elect himself. Trump’s latest commentary on his territorial aspirations and tariff plans suggests the incoming administration will proceed to shun diplomatic norms — to a considerably larger extent than his 2017-2021 time period. In spite of everything, Trump tops the rising record of occasions and exterior components over which the prime minister has no direct management. Musk could nicely function second. And if their duumvirate endures, and shapes US state coverage on commerce and abroad territories (Greenland, the Chagos Islands), Starmer’s bind will tighten.
Donald Trump will depart workplace on 20 January 2029. Starmer might, if he avoids a snap ballot, outlast him. However the lengthy highway to that juncture seems fraught certainly.
Josh Self is Editor of Politics.co.uk, observe him on Bluesky right here.
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